News and analysis from The Center for Michigan • http://thecenterformichigan.net
©2014 Bridge Michigan. All Rights Reserved. • Join us online at http://bridgemi.com
Original article URL: http://bridgemi.com/2012/06/do-michigans-liquor-control-rules-fail-public/
7 June 2012
While the Snyder administration has reported consistent progress on pruning Michigan’s regulatory thicket, the matter of how much to regulate the liquor market has proven to be more ticklish than most. As Bridge reported in April, “The one exception to the smooth process of developing (reform) recommendations could be the Liquor Control Advisory Rules Committee, where there are indications some of the wholesaling interests have strong objections to what other members are proposing.”
Last fall, Bridge also noted the political implications of making major changes to how the state regulates liquor, including the nearly $900,000 handed out by the political action committee of the Michigan Beer and Wine Wholesalers Association.
In May, the Mackinac Center released a report arguing that Michigan’s current control regime isn’t helping make the state safer.
No: Looser alcohol
By Antony Davies/Duquesne University
Economists warn us to evaluate public policies according to their results, not their intentions. Virtually no one will argue with the stated intentions behind alcohol-control policies — principal among them, to reduce alcohol-related fatalities and to keep alcohol out of the hands of minors.
A look at the data, however, shows Michigan’s alcohol-control policies are not delivering results. The benefit of allowing individual states to decide whether and how to regulate alcohol markets is that we have a slate of 50 experiments. By comparing states that heavily regulate alcohol markets to those that don’t, we can see how well alcohol-control policies work.
Numerous studies, most recently one by the Mackinac Center for Public Policy, have shown alcohol-attributable death rates are not lower in states that more heavily regulate their alcohol markets. According to Mackinac research, average alcohol-attributable fatality rates are actually lower for states that license private firms to manufacture and sell alcohol than for states like Michigan that maintain state-run wholesale liquor monopolies.
Comparing DUI fatalities across states is complicated by the fact that differences in the number of miles that people drive, weather conditions, road quality and traffic congestion across the states contribute to differences in fatality rates. But, because these factors affect all traffic fatalities — regardless of whether or not alcohol is involved — the right way to measure DUI fatalities is as a percentage of all traffic fatalities.
Data from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration provide a telling comparison.
Among states that control alcohol markets most heavily, 33 percent of traffic fatalities are alcohol-related. Among states that license private firms to manufacture and sell alcohol, 33 percent of traffic fatalities are alcohol-related. The figures are the same for states that mix partial control with partial private licensing.
Alcohol doesn’t just contribute to traffic deaths. It contributes to deaths from liver disease, fetal alcohol syndrome, alcohol poisoning, aspiration and numerous other acute and chronic causes.
According to data from the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, states that impose the heaviest controls on alcohol markets experience 5.8 alcohol-related deaths per 100,000 people annually, while states with the least restrictions experience 5.5 alcohol-related deaths per 100,000 people. Similarly, previous studies have found no difference in the rates of underage drinking or underage binge drinking between the most heavily and least heavily controlled states.
In the face of this data, control proponents argue for maintaining the status quo because “it is better to be safe than sorry.” At a minimum, they argue, heavy controls limit the number of alcohol sellers, whereas they claim a free market would put a liquor store on every corner.
The data show this claim also is false. States that control their alcohol markets actually have more off-premise alcohol establishments than do states without alcohol controls (14.5 vs. 9.9 per 10,000 adults). States with alcohol controls also have more on-premise alcohol establishments than do states without alcohol controls (16.0 vs. 14.1 per 10,000 adults). On a per-capita basis, the free market actually places fewer alcohol sellers on the streets than do state-run alcohol monopolies.
Looking at the entire body of research on alcohol controls, one clear theme emerges: There is no consistent or compelling evidence that state-run alcohol monopolies reduce alcohol-related fatalities, prevent underage drinking or limit retail outlets.
There is repeated evidence that state-run monopolies actually do the reverse. Everyone concerned with policy realities, rather than policy intentions, should take note.